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2024-12-14 02:59:39

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.Shanghai has made every effort to build an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industrial cluster with global influence. The "Audio-visual Quiet Zone" Shanghai ultra-high-definition audio-visual industrial cluster was unveiled on the 11th. On the same day, Shanghai Economic and Information Technology Commission, Shanghai Culture and Tourism Bureau and Jing 'an District People's Government signed a strategic cooperation agreement. The media, universities and the government will jointly help Shanghai to build an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industry cluster and build an international innovation center for ultra-high-definition technology in the future. (Zhongxin. com)


Summary of the announcement of the change of the connected stocks, 12 connected food: the company's P/E ratio and P/B ratio are significantly higher than the industry average; 8 days and 7 boards construction industry: the current P/E ratio and P/B ratio of the company are quite different from those of the same industry; 6 Lianban Shandong Glass Fiber: The company's stock may have the risk of falling sharply in the short term; 4 Lianban Tianyu Bio: The current P/B ratio of the company is higher than the average level of the same industry; 2 Lianban Lexin Technology: There is no plan to set foot in a specific machine business; 2 Lianban Guosheng Financial Holdings: The merger and acquisition matters still need to be approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission.S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures continued their pre-market gains after the data was released.Syrian opposition forces: Damascus curfew lifted, demanding people to return to work.


After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.This week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time point may be December 12". It was learned from insiders that the personal pension expansion policy will be announced this week, "the time point may be December 12". According to industry insiders, the personal pension pilot will be fully liberalized in the near future, expanding from the original 36 pilot cities to the whole country. At the same time, personal pension fund products are also expanding, and some mature broad-based ETF-linked funds and broad-based index OTC products will add Y shares. (21 Finance)Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "

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